Monday, March 4, 2019
Natl – the Cane Farmers
Case Nghe An Tate & Lyle dough Company (Viet Nam) Question Are farmers likely to exchange to scar cane ? The farmers who lived within 50 kilometers of the ice lolly mill atomic number 18 likely to convert to scar cane in term of economic return and some other benefits. Economic return shekels returns to farmers per Hectare from growing Sugar cane is high. From Exhibit 9 with norminal cash flow of a wander life cycle ( 4 years), the total rerurn of one hectare is 6,900 (000VND) and net infix prize is 3,841 (000VND) with nominal discount rate 13. 3%/year.Compare to coffee and rubber, sugar cane need only one year to revenue. Compare with other crops ( pineapple, coffee, rubber ), Sugar cane can get highest economics from establish 10 as below Unit Dong per hecta Sugar pineapple Coffee Rubber Peanuts Peanuts Peanuts cane and Maize & peanuts and Rices Number of years 420 420 420 420 420 420 420 place years 105 140 168 120 0 0 0 Typical years 315 280 252 300 420 4 20 420 Revenue 2,835,000 3,955,000 4,536,000 3,000,000 2,856,000 4,032,000 4,080,300 kernel Costs 2,110,500 3,255,000 5. 21,100 3,097,500 3,696,000 3,864,000 3,906,000 Total net return 724,500 700,000 -485,100 -97,500 -840,000 168,000 174,300 Return per year 1,725 1,667 -1,155 -232 -2,000 400 415 Note 420 is final common multiple of crop life cycle (4,3,10,28) and assume that cadence value of money is ignored (no discount to present value). From exhibit 11, Net return from Cane also get highest net present value for intent from 1998 to 2015 with nominal discount rate 13,3% per annum and opportunity cost of diligence is $1. 0/day NPV Cane +82,894 NPV pineapple +19,617 NPV coffee +2,438 NPV rubber -13,557, NPV jazz band A -34,515 NPV combo B +6,902, NPV combo C -2,158 (US$ in thousand). another(prenominal) benefits One of three parts of NATLs development plan is an outreach platform to help topical anesthetic farmers to convert to cane production which means that thei r sugar cane entrust fix more added value because cane production can sell with higher price and the farmers can use their products. The caller expected to employ 725 people, provided n-house traning so some(prenominal) members of the farmer family can be come workers, educated ones can also become staffs. This will creat many good affects to the local farmers. The project would need roughly 300 lorries during the fruit season so some farmers can borrow money from local banks to buy new hauliers to transport cane to the factory. With many benefits as above, in front converting to sugar cane the local farmers need to understand/know the attempts of converting. The early risk is to avoid converting too much from the beginning of the project. The factory will reach overflowing capacity by the 2002/2003 harvesting season, so for the period from 1998 to 2002, the numbers of hactares convert to cane need to increase arcordingly. Second risk is related to the NATLs complex paymen t system, with the first installment, approximately 75% of the total, would be made within 14 days of delivery and the last out would be made at the end of the season with adjustment for sugar content and market price.The local farmers seem to familiar with simple full payment upon delivery even though with lower price, many paltry farmers can have enough cash for their daily life and no effected by adjustment with the old payment method. With these analysises, the famers will have much more benefits, some related risks can be considered and controlled so I believe that they will convert to sugar cane.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment